His cutter was next, dropping from his 2022 average of 84.3 mph to 80.8 mph, and his curveball decreased from 72.9 mph to 70.2 mph.. 2/4/18 Super Bowl champs. Heres what Bowden wrote: Mozeliak was cautious in his comments and reminded me that the right-hander threw only 36 innings last year. Please contact us. His contract (seven years, $175 million) ensures he will pitch in Seattle at least through 2019, but his velocity numbers and declining ERA suggest his career may be on the downside. This will undoubtedly hurt Wainwright's bid for the Hall of Fame. Terms of Service. When it comes down to it, Sabathia may find himself in a logjam of other similar pitchers, and if he does get in, it may take him some time. Even in the he falls short but not short enough to not make it hypothetical, the easiest path is likely for Adam Wainwright to post 8.1 WAR under both methods. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004 strikeouts are not going to measure up to most of the starting pitchers enshrined in Cooperstown. Five years ago, Max Scherzer had no Hall of Fame case. After slaying the October beast that had haunted him for so many years, Kershaw pitched reasonably well through the first three months of the season, posting a 3.39 ERA and 2.98 FIP the latter his lowest mark since 2016 in 106.1 innings. He surpassed 200 wins in 2019 (hes at 219 now), but with his strikeout rate dipping from 24.5% last year to 17.0% this year, hes still 201 strikeouts away from 3,000 and will probably need two seasons to reach the milestone instead of one. Sep 14, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) pitches against the Milwaukee Brewers during the fifth inning at Busch Stadium. In the spirit of giving my readers what they want, heres a lightning round, where Ill keep things uncharacteristically brief. Adam Wainwright, however, is a little bit trickier. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburghs Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. Wainwright threw his sinker, cutter and curveball the most, and the velocity on all three pitches measured a significant drop-off from last season. Adam Wainwright is the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher since Bob Gibson, and arguably the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher in history other than Bob Gibson. 2000-2023 Rogers Media. pre-2008 adjustment) | 39.5 Peak fWAR | 48.8 fJAWS, +0.3 fJAWS). 34. With a big age-28 season (5.2 WAR and counting) driven by his 31 homers, 138 OPS+, and 9 DRS, Ramirez is making notable progress toward Cooperstown, particularly given that hes already banked two seven-win seasons. Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment. Bernie has hosted radio shows in St. Louis, Dallas, Baltimore and Washington D.C. Bernie, his wife Kirsten and their cats reside in the Skinker-DeBaliviere neighborhood of St. Louis. Enter your email address to get a new one. Winnowing the 180/2,000/3.40/350/2,300 field down to just wild card-era pitchers makes for an even more exclusive group: Wainwright, Scherzer, Verlander, Kershaw, Clemens plus Hall of Famers Greg Maddux, Randy Johnson, Roy Halladay and Pedro Martinez. Keep your fingers crossed, St. Louis fans.. We use cookies to improve your experience. While Drew was a fine player throughout his career, he would only spend the 2004 season with the Braves. After doing some [strength] assessments, its something he can solve. Poll : Should Adam Wainwright be in the Hall of Fame? Sabathia has a chance to become the 17th pitcher in history to record 3,000 strikeouts, which would give his candidacy a boost. Ten Position Players Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in Its not like hes been injury-prone; Price has led the league in games started three times and innings pitched twice. Wainwright is absolutely not going to make it to Cooperstown, and the numbers say he shouldn't, but you can squint and you can cherry-pick statistics to make an argument for Wainwright if you enter with an agenda. Has Yadier Molina Successfully Framed His Hall of Fame Case? Sabathia has largely been a disappointment since signing a nine-figure extension with the team, and he likely wont be retained when his contract expires after this season. Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. Pitching to a 3.66 ERA and 4.45 FIP, hes produced a respectable 2.2 WAR, though hes still 0.6 points below the JAWS standard. Wainwright was a three time All Star and two time Gold Glove winner, finishing in the top three of the NL Cy Young vote four times. Chris Sale keeps getting better with age, and with the way hes ben mowing down hitters in a 2017 free agent year, hes going to earn a lucrative $200 million deal in the offseason. The Hall of Fame should immortalize the greatest starting pitchers of each era. Alas, just before the All-Star break, the 33-year-old southpaw landed on the injured list due to inflammation in his left forearm and hasnt even gotten to the point of a rehab stint yet after suffering a setback in late July. Because he didnt debut until about five weeks before his 26th birthday, hes short in the two traditional stat categories, wins (77) and strikeouts (1,505), that tend to matter to voters, but as Ive argued, particularly if he can nab a third Cy Young, his will be something of a Koufaxian candidacy, where his career totals will matter less than the peak dominance. The only active pitchers behind Wainwright (2,375 2/3) in the 2,000-inning club are 36-year-old David Price (2,103 1/3), 35-year-old Johnny Cueto (2,034 1/3) and 32-year-old Madison Bumgarner (2,034). Adam Wainwright Archives - Cooperstown Cred While these numbers are impressive, they may not be enough to convince voters that Adam Wainwright is a Hall of Famer. King Felix is still just 31 years old, despite close to 2,500 innings on his right arm. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. Godspeed, Waino. Opinion | Is Wainright a hall of famer? | ksdk.com While he has never won a Cy Young Award, he was in the top 3 on four occasions. Just to be clear, its not an injury deal; its about him not syncing his body up correctly, and he didnt feel like he was getting the leg drive he typically gets, Cardinals manager Oli Marmol said. He was hit hard four balls hit off him registered exit velocities higher than 104 mph, including a 112.1 mph solo moonshot of a homer off the bat of Jos Abreu. Hes never pitched for a World Series champion, and his career postseason statistics wont help him hes 2-8 with a 5.54 ERA, and hes gotten completely shelled on multiple occasions. His induction was most likely heavily influenced by his passing, but I think sets the bar for what a pitcher needs to have accomplished in recent years. No harm. The 35-year-old has a career record of 169-89 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 2,682 strikeouts. His 2.2 WAR, meanwhile, edged him closer to the career standard (73.3). Adam Wainwright on Baseball Reference.. Sales unconventional windup seems to leave open the idea of Tommy John surgery or at least a serious injury, but he has averaged 30 starts per season since entering the rotation in 12. Required fields are marked *. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. He has similar numbers (albeit slightly worse) than Roy Halladay. After the divorce, his mother, Nancy, became a real estate agent and raised the boys on her own. Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? Guerrero is on the Dominican Republic roster for this months World Baseball Classic. He had one brother, Trey, who was seven years his senior. Its only the normal spring-training grind, building up arm strength, minor inflammation, no reason to think hell have to go on the IL, our trainers feel good about it. Adam Parrish Wainwright was born on August 30, 1981, in Brunswick, Georgia. Adam Wainwright is one of the more curious pitchers in baseball, and a recent thread raised a couple questions to me. This year, however, the biggest stars of Opening Day will be three players in Cardinals jerseys who all have legitimate shots of someday being in baseball's Hall of Fame themselves. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Who Are the Next Pitchers to Make the Baseball Hall of Fame? But if it wasn't for . deGrom has already racked up significant value even while qualifying for the ERA title only five times in eight seasons. Look at that. Gerrit Cole (117 wins at age 31) and Chris Sale (114 wins at age 32) are the likeliest active pitchers to approach Wainwrights total. During the 2022 regular season, 'Waino' finished with a record of 11-12 and 3.71 ERA in 191.2 innings, while also racking up 143 strikeouts. Even having covered the progress of 17 mid- and late-career players in these two installments, there are a handful who have posted JAWS gains that would fit on the leaderboards and about whom people have questions regarding their Hall progress. The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. Todays pitcher will make it more for efficiency. Yadier Molina, catcher (58.1 career fWAR (incl. Adam Wainwright Position: Pitcher Bats: Right Throws: Right 6-7 , 230lb (201cm, 104kg) Team: St. Louis Cardinals (majors) More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 3x All-Star 2006 World Series 2x Gold Glove Silver Slugger 60 50 Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. Adam Wainwright Future Hall of Fame Candidates: N.L. Adam Wainwright. The Cardinals and starting pitching and injuries. A similarly impressive 2022 and perhaps 2023, though upon signing a one-year extension with the Cardinals last week, Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season added to his 2017-14 peak would nudge him ever closer to a Cooperstown-worthy body of work and at the least underline the kind of company hes already keeping. All stats used here were sourced from FanGraphs, Baseball Reference, Stathead, Bill James Online, Fielding Bible, Baseball Prospectus, Baseball Savant, Brooks Baseball Net and Spotrac. Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. It hasnt moved him very far in the JAWS rankings, but hes nonetheless seventh among active pitchers behind Greinke, the injured Justin Verlander (60.8), Kershaw, Scherzer, and two other pitchers whove effectively taken zeroes in 2020 and 21, Cole Hamels (48.4) and Flix Hernndez (44.3). 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. Jansens 30 saves have pushed him to 14th on the all-time list, five away from the next rung and 26 away from cracking the top 10. The two were teammates from 2005-07, and Rolen was out at third base when Wainwright recorded the final out of the 2006 World Series for the St. Louis Cardinals.. Opinion | Is Adam Wainwright a Hall of Famer? - KSDK.com Ill assume that FanGraphss weirdly defensive stance against Wainwrights pursuit of bulletin board material has subsided by then. Guerrero had an RBI single during the first inning in his lone at-bat. Via his 10 All-Star selections, nine Gold Gloves, two World Series rings, and reputation for handling pitching staffs, Molinas already been anointed presumptive first-ballot honoree status. After suffering a setback around the trade deadline, he only returned to throwing on August 25; the Mets are holding out hope that the 33-year-old righty can rejoin them by mid-September. Even if he retired now, Verlander has likely done enough to ensure a plaque in Cooperstown. . As if on schedule, we have our first spring-training round of Is Anything Wrong? with the pitcher. It's a career that includes 10 All-Star Games, nine Gold Gloves, four Platinum Gloves, two World Series titles and plenty of adulation from the St. Louis area and beyond. Adam Wainwright answers if he thinks he's a Hall of Famer | Foul The five St. Louis Cardinals who already have Hall of Fame resums Can Adam Wainwright join St. Louis Cardinals teammates in Hall of Fame? Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals' visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004. There are some people that feel Wainwright will join his legendary teammates in Cooperstown at some point in time, a trio of Hall of Famers all departing the Cardinals at the same time. What injury? 177-110, 3.51 ERA, 2,272 strikeouts, 122 adjusted ERA. The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. Adam Wainwright never won a Cy Young Award. That includes 2020, a season shortened by the pandemic. Wainwright went 41-28 with a 4.58 ERA (an ERA+ of 90, or 10 percent below league average) from 2016 through 2019. Even so, five catchers including the younger and still-productive Buster Posey outrank him in the framing-inclusive version of my metric, and with an 80 wRC+ and 0.7 fWAR this year, plus plans to retire after 2022, he might not even catch Russell Martin (49.1) or Joe Mauer (49.3) in the rankings. Outside of Clayton Kershaw, he may be the most dominant pitcher in the game right now; FanGraphs credits Scherzer with more WAR than any non-Kershaw pitcher (25.9) since 2013. Evaluating Hall of Fame Odds for 10 Active Major League Pitchers - Donuts DRS changes, injuries, and the shortened season have dealt the slugging third basemans case a set of blows in recent years, making it even harder to overcome his late start. It is not as though a 6.4 WAR season alone would do the trickwhile this would put Wainwright over 50 bWAR and at 56.4 fWAR (assuming he hit 6.4 on both metrics), the impact on Wainwrights peak would be much smaller, since he was reasonably good in his seventh best season under both metrics (3.0 bWAR, 3.9 fWAR). DUNEDIN., Fla. Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. left the spring training game against Tampa Bay with right knee discomfort. On Saturday, June 11, 25,000 fans, ages 16 and older, will take home one of their replica . May need surgery, but were not close to making any kind of decision on that. What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame induction? He was the first pitcher aged 39 or older since Mike Mussina in 2008 to throw at least 200 innings with an ERA+ of 125 or better. Me talking about it is going to inflame some people Hes not a Hall of Famer! Wainwright said. Molina should make the Baseball Hall of Fame while Wainwright will probably fall short, but even so, we need to enjoy the final season with the longtime battery mates on the . The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. What a different story we could be telling about 'Waino' had he stayed in Atlanta. Here's how WBC offenses stack up with MLB's best, Scherzer tries to test pitch clock limits, gets balk, Jays 'playing it safe' after Guerrero tweaks knee, PitchCom-tipping: Loud device leaks Twins calls, Eflin's first start after $40M deal impresses Rays, Rangers' Leclerc to miss WBC with neck injury, Rockies' Rodgers may need surgery, '23 at risk, Rojas to withdraw from WBC, stay with Dodgers. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing-and-miss stuff and faded to a 17.8 percent strikeout rate. No Gavin Lux -- big problem. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. Wainos going to do that whether hes here or not, and thats a trust thing that Im not concerned with.. He was the MVP of the 2014 World Series after two dominant starts and then five scoreless innings off the bench in Game 7, and hes been a key contributor to three championship teams. How much more does Wainwright need to do to make the Hall of Fame in Twenty-eight are enshrined in Cooperstown everyone except Wainwright and his fellow active hurlers Scherzer, Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw, the latter trio of whom are expected to glide in Cooperstown, as well as Roger Clemens, Tommy John, Luis Tiant, Jerry Koosman, Rick Reuschel, Kevin Brown and Vida Blue. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's. He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011. Is Adam Wainwright Hall of Fame or Hall of Very good? Hes also climbed from 12th to ninth in saves (372) and should easily move past Joe Nathan (377) and Dennis Eckersley (390) within the next year. Bernie On The Cardinals: Wainwright and Flaherty In Spring Training This is the first time since 2010 that all three are in . Adam Wainwright strikes out Chas McCormick swinging in the top of the 1st inning, one of his two strikeouts over three innings of work. Im far less convinced he deserves that, but using FanGraphs framing-inclusive WAR for catchers (supplemented by Baseball Prospectus pre-2008 framing data), its clear that he deserves a boost beyond off-the-shelf JAWS. An error has occurred while trying to update your details. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick | 03/02/2023 | MLB.com Drew. Its available on your preferred podcast platform. Waino certainly isn't a National Hall of Famer, but there is an argument for the Cardinals Hall of Fame for sure. Please logout and login again. The best-of-three series would not go in the Cardinals' favor, falling 2-0 to the eventual World Series participant. 2nd stage: Everything is still on track. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. Zack Greinke has had an interesting career. The minute Adam Wainwright is eligible, he will easily cruise into the St. Louis Cardinals Hall of Fame, with the only possible road block being if he gets caught in the midst of a logjam with Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina (though if the Cardinals were ever going to make an exception and admit three people in one year, this would seemingly be the case). What a career Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina have shared together! Now his current difficulties are being downplayed because the leg/glute tightness, the back spasms, the finger. Verlanders resume is impressive; hes led the league in strikeouts four times, wins twice, won a pitching triple crown, and thrown two no-hitters. Hall of Very Good. Hernandez also holds the distinction of having been the last MLB pitcher to throw a perfect game (2012). This year he was so good that he accrued 5.1 WAR (including 0.6 on the offensive side) in his 15 starts before going down, his fourth-highest total. 156-111, 3.18 ERA, 2,286 strikeouts, 126 adjusted ERA. Look at that. With eight All-Star selections, three Cy Young awards, and a World Series ring, Kershaw is probably a lock for election already, but reaching and surpassing some major career milestones would further elevate him in the pantheon. But, while neither was young, per se, by baseball standards (it was deGroms age-30 season and Scherzers age-33), there is a big leap to get to Adam Wainwrights age-40 season which looms ahead. One Wainwright is a lot closer to establishing than perhaps even he realizes. If he misses the first week or so, no big deal. Seven Pitchers (and Some More Position Players) Who Have Most Helped But theres a rhythm to the ritual. Cardinals' Adam Wainwright reaches 2,000 strikeouts The two-time NL Cy Young winner began his season by reeling off one of the most amazing runs of any pitcher in recent memory, posting an 0.50 ERA and 0.87 FIP through his first 12 starts. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports. Hes pitched for five teams in two different leagues, which is unusual for a pitcher with such a successful resume. He answers the tough question on if his legacy is enough to get him into the MLB Hall of Fame alongside the all-time greats.Follow all our social media channels for more content!https://twitter.com/FoulTerritoryTVhttps://www.instagram.com/foulterritoryshow/https://www.tiktok.com/@foulterritoryshowhttps://www.facebook.com/FoulTerritoryShowhttps://www.twitch.tv/foulterritoryshow Greinke has won an ERA title in each league. Still, his 2.60 ERA is his lowest since 2017, and his strikeout rate is a solid 29.8%. Velocity? Will the games most enigmatic Hall of Fame candidate, a pending free agent this winter, stick around to get it? Will this happen? The Hall of Fame case for St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright He's a hell of a pitcher and even better human being. David Price is older than he seems; hes already 32 in a few months with just 122 career wins. Listen to the Seeing Red podcast on the Cardinals, featuring Will Leitch and Miklasz. He made his 55 million dollar fortune with All-Star, St. Louis Cardinals, NL wins leader. Were not concerned. We always prefer to go the surgery route as the last possible resort. March 2, 2023 | 00:00:10. Strasburgs 2.86 FIP suggests hes outperformed his 3.18 ERA, and his strikeout rate has been stellar. Thats an average of 174 innings per year. He went 119-66 with a 2.96 ERA from 2007-15, a span in which only Kershaw had a lower ERA among pitchers with at least 1,000 innings pitched. Adam Wainwright: Untimeliness and Unluckiness : r/baseball 100-70, 2.99 ERA, 1,409 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. But I just want to know how far back I would have to dig to find an age-40 season in which a pitcher was good enough to get Adam Wainwright to this level of Hall of Fame worthiness. Heres a report on Wainwrights Thursday start against the Astros from The Athletics Katie Woo: The velocity on all five of the pitches in his mix averaged between 3-4 mph slower than their average readings in 2022. When he calls it a career, Wainwright won't be a serious contender for baseball's Hall of Fame, unlike Molina. Your email address will not be published. Flaherty insists hes feeling great this spring. But if youd told me four years ago when his career looked absolutely left for dead that I would even half-heartedly entertain the notion, I would have doubted that even more. Adam Wainwright is not a Hall of Famer yet. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. Carlos Correa, Shortstop(32.7 Career WAR | 32.7 7-Year Peak WAR | 32.7 JAWS, +6.7 JAWS) Between some favorable changes to his DRS totals and an AL-leading 5.9 WAR (surpassed by Ohtani's two-way total of 7.7), the 26-year-old Correa has boosted his JAWS more than any position player. Your existing password has not been changed. He struck out 14 in his MLB debut and it seemed evident that he and Bryce Harper were going to lead the team to not only a World Series championship, but multiple titles. While it seems impossible to envision it now, Wainwright was not always a member of the St. Louis Cardinals. Arizona Diamondbacks. Hes actually been tougher to hit than in any season since 2016, but his 14% walk rate has created more traffic than ever, and hes blown five of 35 save chances, though three of those were in consecutive outings in mid-July, accounting for seven of the 16 earned runs hes allowed. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. "Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires." - Connor Looker Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to. The bad news is that hell finish his age-35 season still short of 1,200 hits (hes at 1,156), meaning that hed have to average at least 160 a total he hasnt reached since 2016 through his age-40 season just to reach the all-important 2,000. Still, hes won 230 games, led the league in wins twice, and won a Cy Young award and a World Series ring. He was traded to St. Louis in 2003 from the Braves in a deal that saw outfielder J.D. His 2011 season, in which he went 24-5 with a 2.40 ERA and led the league in a slew of categories wins, ERA, games started, innings pitched, strikeouts, WHIP, adjusted ERA, and hits allowed per nine innings earned him a distinction that hadnt been accomplished since Roger Clemens in 1986. When Wainwright has pitched, hes been traditionally one of the better pitchers in the league, having won 20 games twice, 19 games on two other occasions, and led the league twice. Privacy Policy Only Price (2018) and Bumgarner (2019) have pitched enough to qualify for an ERA title once since the 2017 season. But Wainwright proved his solid 2020 wasnt a brief mirage. Hes undergone Tommy John surgery, and his career total of 76 wins is underwhelming. Follow him on Twitter @jay_jaffe and Mastodon @jay_jaffe. Scott Rolen signs his name into history, calls Cardinals a 'catapult Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburgh's Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. And I finally reached the point where I just ignored the spin and started to interpret the lack of candor as a possible warning sign. Wainwright could become the sixth to add the Hall of Fame to their resume. And while deGromcontinued to blast 100-mph fastball after 100-mph fastball past hitterseven while missing turns here and there due to what were believed (by the Mets, at least) to be minor and disconnected injuries, he finally landed on the IL in early July with forearm inflammation. He is known for being a Baseball Player. However, not all stories have happy endings. Adam's parents had a rocky marriage, and they split up when he was around seven years old. The Cardinals are calm. It happens a lot. That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . St. Louis Cardinals right-hander Adam Wainwright reaches 2,000 career His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case. Will Adam Wainwright make the Hall of Fame? A look at the career of the
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